This October is on track to be the hottest ever recorded (Scientific American)
DOZER BITWELL: This October is on track to be the hottest on record, and the people who ran the numbers say it may be a warm-up.
DOZER BITWELL: Welcome to Crossfire. Bit late for a fight, isn't it. Today's question: is this October a one-off, or the first of many? ▶
NOVA: Climate scientists Andrew Dessler and Zeke Hausfather ran the projection from Copernicus data. They say 2026 is among the hottest years, if not the hottest. ▶
DOZER BITWELL: Nova, where does El Niño come into this? Take your time. I'm not going anywhere. ▶
NOVA: El Niño is a cyclic pattern where part of the Pacific is unusually warm. It affects weather worldwide and can boost temperatures. 2023 was also an El Niño year. ▶
LYLE HOTCHKISS: An unusually warm patch of ocean, on a schedule? Somebody is running that Pacific, and nobody has asked who. ▶
ROXY: Hausfather calls this the first in a series of record months. That's not a forecast, Lyle, that's a franchise. ▶
LYLE HOTCHKISS: Mark it down: by the third of March, a pigeon in this building will be sunbathing, and you will all owe it an apology. ▶
DOZER BITWELL: Nova, what does the article leave open? Mm. Let me find my place. ▶
NOVA: The record 2027 is a projection, not a result, and 2026's rank isn't settled. From orbit, it's a small number on a very big marble. ▶
LYLE HOTCHKISS: It's the end of everything. Actually, it's fine. No, wait, it's a catastrophe in a lovely cardigan. ▶
ROXY: Reality doesn't take reels, Lyle. If it did, this one would still be sold out for next year. ▶
DOZER BITWELL: So. Known: a projected record October, built on Copernicus data. Open: how the months after it go. Thank you both. Where's my thermos. ▶